Career Projection - Fernando Martinez, OF, NYM

To accompany the "Stud or Dud?" article appearing on Friday at Metsgeek.com, I figured why not take a stab at a career projection for F-Mart. Creating the following projection actually took longer than writing the piece and was pretty labor intensive. With that said, I'd love to hear what readers think to help me determine whether or not it is a useful tool, or waste of time.

As for F-Mart, is this projection:

1. Right on the money
2. Way off because he will NEVER be that good
3. Conservative since he will have a Hall of Fame career
4. Good, but F-Mart will have less impact in his prime.

YR	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	K	SB
10	17	49	7	11	2	0	1	5	3	14	1
11	124	410	51	110	22	3	9	54	28	86	5
12	136	476	58	134	25	3	11	60	40	90	7
13	154	539	66	158	28	4	15	72	49	94	9
14	92	322	46	101	20	2	9	42	32	55	6
15	152	532	81	171	34	5	18	89	53	80	11
16	148	518	84	160	36	4	21	82	50	78	9
17	156	593	101	194	42	3	26	106	58	89	13
18	137	507	87	161	33	2	22	90	49	70	9
19	155	589	102	188	32	3	31	111	61	102	10
20	151	574	98	171	35	2	26	103	53	97	8
21	76	289	42	80	16	1	12	45	26	55	4
22	132	502	83	148	29	3	19	86	44	88	6
23	147	559	89	157	31	2	20	92	51	97	5
24	128	474	72	131	24	1	17	78	43	89	3
25	111	389	47	100	19	1	13	51	34	74	2
26	53	155	17	35	9	0	4	15	12	31	0
17	2069	7477	1131	2210	437	39	274	1181	686	1289	108

AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
.224	.269	.327	.596
.268	.320	.402	.722
.282	.342	.416	.758
.293	.354	.443	.798
.314	.377	.472	.850
.321	.386	.506	.892
.309	.376	.515	.892
.327	.390	.540	.930
.318	.382	.521	.903
.319	.386	.542	.928
.298	.359	.502	.861
.277	.337	.464	.800
.295	.358	.478	.836
.281	.345	.451	.796
.276	.339	.439	.778
.257	.318	.411	.730
.226	.281	.361	.643
.296	.358	.474	.833

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