Career Projection - Daniel Murphy, OF, NYM

Click here to read "The Daniel Murphy Dilemma" on Metsgeek.com

Daniel Murphy is expected to develop into a catalyst at the top of the New York Mets order. With Omar Minaya announcing the Mets intention of using him as the teams regular left fielder, the question becomes whether or not Murphy will be able to hit enough to warrant his being a regular.

Player comparisons used in the projection included Jose Vidro, Rusty Greer, and Gregg Jefferies, with a quick glance given to both Kevin Seitzer and Mike Greenwell. Unfortunately for Murphy, players similar to him in both style and skill set tend to have success quickly, but fall off the map in their early thirties. Murphy should have a solid career, but it will likely not be a prolonged one.

As for Murphy, is this projection:

1. Right on the money
2. Way off because he will NEVER be that good
3. Conservative since he will have a Hall of Fame career
4. Good, but Murphy will have less impact in his prime.

AGE	YR	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR
23	08	17	131	24	41	9	3	2
24	09	131	481	68	138	27	4	12
25	10	147	539	82	159	36	4	14
26	11	87	319	47	99	22	2	9
27	12	152	558	98	176	38	3	17
28	13	136	499	81	150	31	2	20
29	14	155	569	101	181	34	4	19
30	15	121	444	66	132	29	3	14
31	16	149	547	77	155	32	4	12
32	17	109	400	45	111	23	2	9
33	18	72	224	19	61	13	1	5
Totals	11	1276	4711	708	1403	294	32	133

TB	RBI	BB	K	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
62	17	18	28	0	.313	.397	.473	.871
209	72	49	84	8	.287	.355	.435	.789
245	76	56	80	11	.295	.363	.454	.817
152	44	33	48	7	.310	.375	.476	.851
271	91	62	67	15	.316	.387	.486	.872
245	79	54	60	12	.301	.373	.491	.864
280	98	65	63	17	.318	.388	.492	.881
209	63	48	51	10	.297	.368	.471	.839
231	71	55	74	7	.283	.347	.422	.770
165	41	37	53	3	.277	.338	.412	.750
91	21	20	34	1	.272	.331	.406	.737
2160	673	497	642	91	.298	.369	.458	.828

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